BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

-----------------------------------------------

Lone Tree

Class: A Class Rank: 48 Conference: A-5 Record: (9-11-0) Overall: (15-32-0) Overall Strength =   25.67

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/01/2006 Home    L    -0.48   7  31    A  49 ( 23- 69-  1) Lynnville-Sully       -26.73      2.73                      
  2 09/08/2006 Away    L    15.32   0  43    A  18 ( 72- 33-  0) North Mahaska         -10.94    -32.06                      
  3 09/15/2006 Away    L    13.14   6  42    A  32 ( 51- 45-  0) Marengo Iowa Valley   -13.11    -22.89                      
  4 09/22/2006 Home    L    12.41   0  41    A  21 ( 69- 34-  0) Victor HLV            -13.85    -27.15                      
  5 09/29/2006 Away    L *   9.47   7  21    A  50 ( 17- 73-  0) Winfield-Mt Union     -16.79      2.79                      
  6 10/06/2006 Home    L *  17.64   6  46    A  15 ( 82- 25-  0) Wayland WACO           -8.61    -31.39                      
  7 10/13/2006 Away    W *  42.60  25  14    A  44 ( 32- 61-  0) English Valleys        16.35     -5.35                      
  8 10/20/2006 Home    L   -10.62  13  44   1A  62 ( 15- 75-  0) Eldon Cardinal        -36.88      5.88                      
  9 10/27/2006 Away    L    11.41   0  18   1A  60 ( 13- 34-  0) Riverside Highland    -14.85     -3.15                      
 10 08/31/2007 Away    L    22.58  14  18    A  49 ( 23- 69-  1) Lynnville-Sully        -3.68     -0.32                      
 11 09/07/2007 Home    L    20.26   7  42    A  18 ( 72- 33-  0) North Mahaska          -5.99    -29.01                      
 12 09/14/2007 Home    L     4.09   6  48    A  32 ( 51- 45-  0) Marengo Iowa Valley   -22.17    -19.83                      
 13 09/21/2007 Away    L     1.46   0  55    A  21 ( 69- 34-  0) Victor HLV            -24.79    -30.21                      
 14 09/28/2007 Home    L *   6.41   7  21    A  50 ( 17- 73-  0) Winfield-Mt Union     -19.84      5.84                      
 15 10/05/2007 Away    L *  18.70  13  55    A  15 ( 82- 25-  0) Wayland WACO           -7.56    -34.44                      
 16 10/12/2007 Home    L *   1.55   8  35    A  44 ( 32- 61-  0) English Valleys       -24.71     -2.29                      
 17 10/19/2007 Away    L    13.43   8  18   1A  62 ( 15- 75-  0) Eldon Cardinal        -12.82      2.82                      
 18 10/26/2007 Home    L    12.35  14  28   1A  60 ( 13- 34-  0) Riverside Highland    -13.91     -0.09                      
 19 08/29/2008 Home    W    38.07  26  16    A  45 ( 26- 67-  0) Garwin GMG             11.82     -1.82  non-district        
 20 09/05/2008 Away    W    51.63  44  36    A  38 ( 35- 52-  0) Brooklyn BGM           25.37    -17.37  non-district        
 21 09/12/2008 Home    W    41.38  28   7   1A  62 ( 15- 75-  0) Eldon Cardinal         15.12      5.88                      
 22 09/19/2008 Away    L *  10.84   7  27    A  46 ( 11- 17-  0) New London            -15.41     -4.59                      
 23 09/26/2008 Home    W *  52.37  68  28    A  51 (  6- 22-  0) Danville               26.11     13.89                      
 24 10/03/2008 Away    L    23.94   0  42    A  11 ( 86- 25-  0) Traer North Tama       -2.31    -39.69  non-district        
 25 10/10/2008 Home    W    54.35  40  12   1A  60 ( 13- 34-  0) Riverside Highland     28.09     -0.09                      
 26 10/17/2008 Away    W *  37.47  41  27    A  50 ( 17- 73-  0) Winfield-Mt Union      11.21      2.79                      
 27 10/24/2008 Away    L *  41.70  12  31    A  15 ( 82- 25-  0) Wayland WACO           15.44    -34.44                      
 28 10/29/2008 Away    L    21.46   9  44    A  21 ( 69- 34-  0) Victor HLV             -4.79    -30.21                      
 29 08/28/2009 Away    W    45.13  28  14    A  45 ( 26- 67-  0) Garwin GMG             18.87     -4.87  nd                  
 30 09/04/2009 Home    L    19.57  14  35    A  38 ( 35- 52-  0) Brooklyn BGM           -6.68    -14.32  nd                  
 31 09/11/2009 Away    L    16.43   6  13   1A  62 ( 15- 75-  0) Eldon Cardinal         -9.82      2.82                      
 32 09/18/2009 Home    W *  31.79  32  28    A  46 ( 11- 17-  0) New London              5.53     -1.53                      
 33 09/25/2009 Away    L *  14.43  25  26    A  51 (  6- 22-  0) Danville              -11.83     10.83                      
 34 10/02/2009 Home    L    21.89   0  41    A  11 ( 86- 25-  0) Traer North Tama       -4.37    -36.63  nd                  
 35 10/09/2009 Away    L    15.41  14  28   1A  60 ( 13- 34-  0) Riverside Highland    -10.85     -3.15                      
 36 10/16/2009 Home    W *  32.41  18   6    A  50 ( 17- 73-  0) Winfield-Mt Union       6.16      5.84                      
 37 10/23/2009 Home    L *  36.64   8  29    A  15 ( 82- 25-  0) Wayland WACO           10.39    -31.39                      
 38 08/27/2010 Home    L    13.35  13  26   1A  60 ( 13- 34-  0) Riverside Highland    -12.91     -0.09  ND                  
 39 09/03/2010 Away    W    62.30  31  22    A  30 ( 47- 47-  0) Belle Plaine           36.05    -27.05  ND                  
 40 09/10/2010 Home    L *  43.64   7  21    A  15 ( 82- 25-  0) Wayland WACO           17.39    -31.39                      
 41 09/17/2010 Home    W *  52.79  39  14    A  46 ( 11- 17-  0) New London             26.53     -1.53                      
 42 09/24/2010 Away    W *  33.43  21   3    A  51 (  6- 22-  0) Danville                7.17     10.83                      
 43 10/01/2010 Home    L     5.57   7  42    A  38 ( 35- 52-  0) Brooklyn BGM          -20.68    -14.32  ND                  
 44 10/08/2010 Home    L *  45.52  22  28 1  A  26 ( 77- 26-  0) Lisbon                 19.27    -25.27                      
 45 10/15/2010 Away    W *  49.60  40  22    A  44 ( 32- 61-  0) English Valleys        23.35     -5.35                      
 46 10/22/2010 Neutral W *  35.94  35  21    A  50 ( 17- 73-  0) Winfield-Mt Union       9.69      4.31                      
 47 10/27/2010 Away    L    45.46  24  35    A  21 ( 69- 34-  0) Victor HLV             19.21    -30.21                      
      Averages              25.67  17.0 28.6

Best game:   62.30 = 9 point win over Belle Plaine
Worst game: -10.62 = 31 point loss to Eldon Cardinal
Team stdev:  17.66