BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Lone Tree

Class: A Class Rank: 48 Conference: SEI Super-North Record: (4-11-0) Overall: (15-32-0) Overall Strength =   25.67

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 09/01/2006 Home    L      -0.48   7  31    A 49 ( 23- 69-  1) Lynnville-Sully       -26.73      2.73                      
 2 09/08/2006 Away    L      15.32   0  43    A 17 ( 72- 33-  0) North Mahaska         -10.94    -32.06                      
 3 09/15/2006 Away    L      13.14   6  42    A 31 ( 51- 45-  0) Marengo Iowa Valley   -13.11    -22.89                      
 4 09/22/2006 Home    L      12.41   0  41    A 20 ( 69- 34-  0) Victor HLV            -13.85    -27.15                      
 5 09/29/2006 Away    L * *   9.47   7  21    A 50 ( 17- 73-  0) Winfield-Mt Union     -16.79      2.79                      
 6 10/06/2006 Home    L * *  17.64   6  46    A 14 ( 82- 25-  0) Wayland WACO           -8.61    -31.39                      
 7 10/13/2006 Away    W   *  42.60  25  14    A 44 ( 32- 61-  0) English Valleys        16.35     -5.35                      
 8 10/20/2006 Home    L     -10.62  13  44   1A 61 ( 15- 75-  0) Eldon Cardinal        -36.88      5.88                      
 9 10/27/2006 Away    L *    11.41   0  18   1A 59 ( 13- 34-  0) Riverside Highland    -14.85     -3.15                      
10 08/31/2007 Away    L      22.58  14  18    A 49 ( 23- 69-  1) Lynnville-Sully        -3.68     -0.32                      
11 09/07/2007 Home    L      20.26   7  42    A 17 ( 72- 33-  0) North Mahaska          -5.99    -29.01                      
12 09/14/2007 Home    L       4.09   6  48    A 31 ( 51- 45-  0) Marengo Iowa Valley   -22.17    -19.83                      
13 09/21/2007 Away    L       1.46   0  55    A 20 ( 69- 34-  0) Victor HLV            -24.79    -30.21                      
14 09/28/2007 Home    L * *   6.41   7  21    A 50 ( 17- 73-  0) Winfield-Mt Union     -19.84      5.84                      
15 10/05/2007 Away    L * *  18.70  13  55    A 14 ( 82- 25-  0) Wayland WACO           -7.56    -34.44                      
16 10/12/2007 Home    L   *   1.55   8  35    A 44 ( 32- 61-  0) English Valleys       -24.71     -2.29                      
17 10/19/2007 Away    L      13.43   8  18   1A 61 ( 15- 75-  0) Eldon Cardinal        -12.82      2.82                      
18 10/26/2007 Home    L *    12.35  14  28   1A 59 ( 13- 34-  0) Riverside Highland    -13.91     -0.09                      
19 08/29/2008 Home    W      38.07  26  16    A 45 ( 26- 67-  0) Garwin GMG             11.82     -1.82  non-district        
20 09/05/2008 Away    W      51.63  44  36    A 38 ( 35- 52-  0) Brooklyn BGM           25.37    -17.37  non-district        
21 09/12/2008 Home    W      41.38  28   7   1A 61 ( 15- 75-  0) Eldon Cardinal         15.12      5.88                      
22 09/19/2008 Away    L   *  10.84   7  27    A 46 ( 11- 17-  0) New London            -15.41     -4.59                      
23 09/26/2008 Home    W   *  52.37  68  28    A 51 (  6- 22-  0) Danville               26.11     13.89                      
24 10/03/2008 Away    L      23.94   0  42    A 10 ( 86- 25-  0) Traer North Tama       -2.31    -39.69  non-district        
25 10/10/2008 Home    W *    54.35  40  12   1A 59 ( 13- 34-  0) Riverside Highland     28.09     -0.09                      
26 10/17/2008 Away    W * *  37.47  41  27    A 50 ( 17- 73-  0) Winfield-Mt Union      11.21      2.79                      
27 10/24/2008 Away    L * *  41.70  12  31    A 14 ( 82- 25-  0) Wayland WACO           15.44    -34.44                      
28 10/29/2008 Away    L      21.46   9  44    A 20 ( 69- 34-  0) Victor HLV             -4.79    -30.21                      
29 08/28/2009 Away    W      45.13  28  14    A 45 ( 26- 67-  0) Garwin GMG             18.87     -4.87  nd                  
30 09/04/2009 Home    L      19.57  14  35    A 38 ( 35- 52-  0) Brooklyn BGM           -6.68    -14.32  nd                  
31 09/11/2009 Away    L      16.43   6  13   1A 61 ( 15- 75-  0) Eldon Cardinal         -9.82      2.82                      
32 09/18/2009 Home    W   *  31.79  32  28    A 46 ( 11- 17-  0) New London              5.53     -1.53                      
33 09/25/2009 Away    L   *  14.43  25  26    A 51 (  6- 22-  0) Danville              -11.83     10.83                      
34 10/02/2009 Home    L      21.89   0  41    A 10 ( 86- 25-  0) Traer North Tama       -4.37    -36.63  nd                  
35 10/09/2009 Away    L *    15.41  14  28   1A 59 ( 13- 34-  0) Riverside Highland    -10.85     -3.15                      
36 10/16/2009 Home    W * *  32.41  18   6    A 50 ( 17- 73-  0) Winfield-Mt Union       6.16      5.84                      
37 10/23/2009 Home    L * *  36.64   8  29    A 14 ( 82- 25-  0) Wayland WACO           10.39    -31.39                      
38 08/27/2010 Home    L *    13.35  13  26   1A 59 ( 13- 34-  0) Riverside Highland    -12.91     -0.09  ND                  
39 09/03/2010 Away    W      62.30  31  22    A 29 ( 47- 47-  0) Belle Plaine           36.05    -27.05  ND                  
40 09/10/2010 Home    L * *  43.64   7  21    A 14 ( 82- 25-  0) Wayland WACO           17.39    -31.39                      
41 09/17/2010 Home    W   *  52.79  39  14    A 46 ( 11- 17-  0) New London             26.53     -1.53                      
42 09/24/2010 Away    W   *  33.43  21   3    A 51 (  6- 22-  0) Danville                7.17     10.83                      
43 10/01/2010 Home    L       5.57   7  42    A 38 ( 35- 52-  0) Brooklyn BGM          -20.68    -14.32  ND                  
44 10/08/2010 Home    L   *  45.52  22  28 1  A 25 ( 77- 26-  0) Lisbon                 19.27    -25.27                      
45 10/15/2010 Away    W   *  49.60  40  22    A 44 ( 32- 61-  0) English Valleys        23.35     -5.35                      
46 10/22/2010 Neutral W * *  35.94  35  21    A 50 ( 17- 73-  0) Winfield-Mt Union       9.69      4.31                      
47 10/27/2010 Away    L      45.46  24  35    A 20 ( 69- 34-  0) Victor HLV             19.21    -30.21                      
      Averages              25.67  17.0 28.6

Best game:   62.30 = 9 point win over Belle Plaine
Worst game: -10.62 = 31 point loss to Eldon Cardinal
Team stdev:  17.66